The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estepona 30.1%
Draw 31.3%
UCAM Murcia 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
32.7%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
32.4%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Estepona - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Punal A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Ale Conteras ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Recent performances by Estepona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UCAM Murcia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
CD Estepona
5
2
1
2
7:7
0
7
Last Results with these Odds
Estepona - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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