Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Cartaya		Conil

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.48	2.88	2.71
	2.64	3.03	2.64	Watch
	2.49	2.95	2.71
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.17)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.69 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartaya
35.3%

Draw
31.1%

Conil
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

31.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartaya's form might have worsened.

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Conil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Conil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartaya - Conil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Cubero J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Lagos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartaya won 0.

Recent matches Cartaya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Conil is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cartaya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cartaya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartaya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.12.24	Utrera - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Cartaya - San Roque de Lepe	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Bollullos - Cartaya	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Cartaya - Atlético Onubense	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Tomares - Cartaya	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.12.24	Conil - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Inter Sevilla - Conil	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Conil - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Atlético Central - Conil	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Conil - Puente Genil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.03.24	Conil - Cartaya	2:1
04.11.23	Cartaya - Conil	0:1
18.02.23	Conil - Cartaya	4:0
23.10.22	Cartaya - Conil	2:2
23.01.22	Conil - Cartaya	3:1
02.10.21	Cartaya - Conil	1:0

Cartaya - Conil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide