Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Conil		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.65	3.3	1.92
	3.5	3.66	1.98
				Watch
	4.06	3.14	1.87
	3.65	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (5)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	1.9 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
24.6%

Draw
27.2%

Puente Genil
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

25.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

25.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Conil's performance.

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puente Genil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conil than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Conil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Conil - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Zaca ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Montero R. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Conil won 0.

Conil is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puente Genil is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Conil won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Conil won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.11.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Conil	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Conil - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Conil - La Palma	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Utrera - Conil	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Conil - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
10.11.24	Puente Genil - Utrera	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	San Roque de Lepe - Puente Genil	2:3 ✺
27.10.24	Puente Genil - Bollullos	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Onubense - Puente Genil	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Puente Genil - Tomares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.12.23	Conil - Puente Genil	1:1
25.03.23	Conil - Puente Genil	1:1
03.12.22	Puente Genil - Conil	2:2
23.12.21	Puente Genil - Conil	1:0
18.01.20	Conil - Puente Genil	2:2
22.12.18	Conil - Puente Genil	2:2

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