Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Conil		Sevilla C

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.01	3.27	3.51
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.12	3.04	3.33
	2.12	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)	3.08 ↑ (2.93)	3.3 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conil
43.1%

Draw
29.4%

Sevilla C
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

29.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sevilla C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conil than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Conil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Conil - Sevilla C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Conil won 1.

Conil is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sevilla C has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Conil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Conil won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Conil won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Conil	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6
14	Sevilla FC C	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conil CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.26	Conil - Linense	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Onubense - Conil	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Conil - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	San Roque de Lepe - Conil	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Conil - Castilleja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLT
- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.26	Atlético Central - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla C - Utrera	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dos Hermanas - Sevilla C	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sevilla C - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.09.25	Sevilla C - Conil	1:0
12.04.25	Sevilla C - Conil	3:1
01.12.24	Conil - Sevilla C	0:0
27.03.24	Sevilla C - Conil	1:1
11.11.23	Conil - Sevilla C	1:0
20.01.23	Conil - Sevilla C	2:2
25.09.22	Sevilla C - Conil	1:0

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