Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Cartaya		Tomares

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6
	2.6	2.95	2.7
	2.56	2.91	2.66
	2.6	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartaya
35.1%

Draw
31%

Tomares
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Tomares have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cartaya - Tomares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Vega R. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Gordillo J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Cerpa Gonzalez M. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 2, Garcia V. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Recent matches Cartaya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tomares is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartaya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.03.25	Coria CF - Cartaya	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Cartaya - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Espeleño - Cartaya	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Cartaya - La Palma	3:3 ✺
23.02.25	Cartaya - Pozoblanco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTT
- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.03.25	Tomares - Pozoblanco	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Inter Sevilla - Tomares	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Tomares - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético Central - Tomares	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Tomares - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.11.24	Tomares - Cartaya	4:0
03.04.22	Cartaya - Tomares	0:2
05.12.21	Tomares - Cartaya	0:0

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