Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Tomares		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.05	2.01
	3.63	3.1	1.99
	3.65	3.17	2	Watch
	3.73	3.25	1.91
	3.6	3.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.13)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	1.98 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
25%

Draw
29.1%

Puente Genil
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

27.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

27.4%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Genil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tomares - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Buzon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, (Own goal),

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Tomares is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Puente Genil in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Puente Genil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Puente Genil have a series of home games.

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tomares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tomares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.02.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Tomares	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tomares - Ceuta B	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Conil - Tomares	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tomares - Utrera	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	San Roque de Lepe - Tomares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.02.25	Puente Genil - Coria CF	4:0 ✺
09.02.25	Córdoba B - Puente Genil	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Puente Genil - Espeleño	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Puente Genil - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Puente Genil - Inter Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
13.10.24	Puente Genil - Tomares	2:0
13.03.22	Tomares - Puente Genil	0:1
14.11.21	Puente Genil - Tomares	2:1

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