Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Cartes		Barquereño

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.92	2.98
	2.3	3.07	3.06
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.27	2.99	3.06
	2.2	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.31)	3 ↑ (2.87)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartes
39.8%

Draw
30.2%

Barquereño
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

32.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Barquereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cartes - Barquereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Cartes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barquereño is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barquereño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, Cartes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	CD Barquereno	5	0	1	4	2:11	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Cartes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
10.01.26	Cartes - Noja	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Castro - Cartes	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Cartes - Cayón	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Montañas del Pas - Cartes	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cartes - Escobedo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL
- CD Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Barquereño	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Barquereño - Revilla	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Guarnizo - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Barquereño - Colindres	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Selaya - Barquereño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 51.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.01.20	Cartes - Barquereño	2:2

Cartes - Barquereño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide