Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Castro		Cartes

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.49	3.65	6.1
	1.59	3.64	5.4
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.42	3.84	7.28
	1.46	3.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.53)	6.21 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro
60.5%

Draw
24.9%

Cartes
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.7%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cartes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Castro - Cartes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Lastra X. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1.

Castro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cartes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castro is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Castro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Castro	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castro FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
21.12.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Castro	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Castro - Revilla	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Guarnizo - Castro	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Castro - Colindres	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Castro - Laredo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWT
- UC Cartes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.12.25	Cartes - Cayón	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Montañas del Pas - Cartes	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cartes - Escobedo	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Cartes - Atlético Albericia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Cartes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
03.03.24	Castro - Cartes	2:2
14.10.23	Cartes - Castro	4:1
02.04.23	Castro - Cartes	1:0
03.12.22	Cartes - Castro	2:2
13.02.22	Castro - Cartes	3:3
16.10.21	Cartes - Castro	2:0
07.03.21	Castro - Cartes	2:0

Castro - Cartes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide