Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.92
	2.1	3.52	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
43.2%

Draw
25.9%

Noteć Czarnków
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

25.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Cartusia Kartuzy is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noteć Czarnków is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cartusia Kartuzy could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Wda Świecie - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Września	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Luzino	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.03.25	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:1
21.08.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	1:1
03.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:0
07.10.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	4:0

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