Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Noteć Czarnków		Września

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.75	4.2
	1.65	3.8	4.15
	1.64	3.8	4.42	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	3.81 ↓ (3.88)	4.28 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
55%

Draw
23.8%

Września
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

20.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noteć Czarnków's performance.

Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Września might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noteć Czarnków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Września could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noteć Czarnków - Września Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Kanior K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Września may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Września has had a series of home games.

In this match, Noteć Czarnków is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Luzino	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:4 ✺
09.08.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW
- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.09.25	Września - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
27.08.25	Września - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Września	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Września - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

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