Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.4
	2.35	3.6	2.42
	2.43	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.63 ↓ (3.73)	2.44 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
38%

Draw
24.9%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 3.

Cartusia Kartuzy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartusia Kartuzy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.08.25	Wda Świecie - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Elana Toruń	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Września - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWW
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Luzino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1
14.09.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:2
13.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:1
16.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2
24.05.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1
22.10.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:5

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