Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.18	3.5	2.72
	2.44	3.52	2.42
	2.23	3.81	2.65	Watch
	2.19	3.97	2.6	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	3.68 ↓ (3.73)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
40.3%

Draw
24.6%

Lech Poznań 2
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Szymczak W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, Wilak F. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Wilak F. ⚽,
84', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 0.

Środa Wielkopolska is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lech 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Luzino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
01.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWTW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
22.08.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Luzino - Lech Poznań 2	4:3 ✺
09.08.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
04.10.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:3
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.19	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
16.09.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:1
11.04.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3
23.08.17	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	0:0

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