Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Casale		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.03	2.87	3.69
	1.97	3	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)	2.97 ↓ (3.01)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casale
45.5%

Draw
30.4%

Caronnese
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

20%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caronnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casale - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casale won 1.

Recent matches Casale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caronnese is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caronnese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Casale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.02.22	Casale - Unione Sanremo	1:3 ✺
09.02.22	Imperia - Casale	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Vado - Casale	1:4 ✺
29.01.22	Ticino - Casale	2:1 ✺
22.12.21	Casale - Bra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.02.22	Caronnese - PDHAE	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	Caronnese - Vado	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Ligorna - Caronnese	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Derthona - Caronnese	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Caronnese - Ticino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
17.10.21	Caronnese - Casale	1:1
05.05.21	Casale - Caronnese	1:0
06.01.21	Caronnese - Casale	2:1
15.12.19	Caronnese - Casale	3:3
08.04.18	Casale - Caronnese	0:1
19.11.17	Caronnese - Casale	1:0
13.11.16	Caronnese - Casale	4:2

Casale - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide