Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Caronnese		Vado

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.2	2.95	3.05
	2.18	2.86	3.04
	2.22	3.24	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.55)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	3.04 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
40.5%

Draw
30%

Vado
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

20.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caronnese's performance.

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caronnese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Caronnese - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 12).

Caronnese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vado is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caronnese have a series of guest games.

Caronnese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Caronnese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.02.22	Ligorna - Caronnese	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Derthona - Caronnese	0:2 ✺
02.02.22	Caronnese - Ticino	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Unione Sanremo - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
23.01.22	Bra - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWTTT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
06.02.22	Vado - Casale	1:4 ✺
02.02.22	Vado - Unione Sanremo	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Derthona - Vado	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Sestri Levante - Vado	2:1 ✺
22.12.21	Vado - Ticino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
06.10.21	Vado - Caronnese	2:1
11.04.21	Caronnese - Vado	1:0
16.12.20	Vado - Caronnese	1:3
17.01.16	Caronnese - Vado	3:0

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