The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casale 23.7%
Draw 25%
Legnano 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
26.7%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.4%
20%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casale's form might have worsened.
Legnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legnano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
2.1%
2.1%
95.8%
Casale - Legnano Predictions
Users Predictions:
Legnano will win
(46 of 48 users predict this - 95.83%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.17% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Recent matches Casale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Legnano is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Casale have a series of home games.
Legnano will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Casale won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.