Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Casale		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.75
	2.6	2.75	2.75
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.62	2.73	2.65
	2.68	2.86	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casale
34.5%

Draw
32.3%

Folgore Caratese
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casale than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Casale - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 7).

Casale is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Folgore Caratese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Folgore Caratese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.05.21	Casale - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	Imperia - Casale	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Casale - Derthona	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Varese - Casale	1:3
14.04.21	Casale - PDHAE	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.05.21	Fossano - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Imperia	1:0 ✺
21.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Folgore Caratese - Vado	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Chieri - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
17.01.21	Folgore Caratese - Casale	1:0
17.03.19	Folgore Caratese - Casale	3:0
14.11.18	Casale - Folgore Caratese	2:0
21.02.18	Casale - Folgore Caratese	0:0
18.10.17	Folgore Caratese - Casale	1:1
05.02.17	Casale - Folgore Caratese	1:2
02.10.16	Folgore Caratese - Casale	1:3

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