Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)


	Casarano		Martina Calcio

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.99	3.2	3.5
	2	3.36	3.45	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2	3.46	3.56
	1.99	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
45.9%

Draw
27.9%

Martina Calcio
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.

Martina Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martina Calcio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Casarano - Martina Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Malcore G. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, La Monica G. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.01.25	Casarano - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Costa D`Amalfi - Casarano	0:7 ✺
22.12.24	Ischia Isolaverde - Casarano	3:8 ✺
15.12.24	Casarano - Gravina	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Fidelis Andria - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTL
- Martina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.01.25	Martina Calcio - Ischia Isolaverde	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Gravina - Martina Calcio	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Manfredonia - Martina Calcio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.12.24	Martina Calcio - Enna	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.12.24	Martina Calcio - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
20.11.24	Martina Calcio - Casarano	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.05.24	Martina Calcio - Casarano	3:0
28.02.24	Casarano - Martina Calcio	0:0
22.10.23	Martina Calcio - Casarano	1:1
08.01.23	Casarano - Martina Calcio	1:0

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