Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)


	Casarano		Gravina

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.5
	1.52	3.8	5.6
	1.54	3.12	7.19
	1.56	3.37	6.66
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.49	3.92	5.8
	1.52	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.55)	3.62 ↓ (3.72)	5.84 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
59.2%

Draw
25.2%

Gravina
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

24.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Casarano - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Santoro D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Loiodice N. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.12.24	Fidelis Andria - Casarano	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Casarano - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.11.24	Martina Calcio - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.11.24	Nardo - Casarano	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Fidelis Andria - Casarano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTW
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
17.11.24	Gravina - Francavilla	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Gravina - Ugento	5:0 ✺
27.10.24	Nardo - Gravina	5:1 ✺
23.10.24	Gravina - Angri	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Nocerina - Gravina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
18.02.24	Casarano - Gravina	2:0
15.10.23	Gravina - Casarano	0:1
15.01.23	Gravina - Casarano	1:1
11.09.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:0
30.01.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:1
19.09.21	Gravina - Casarano	1:2
25.04.21	Casarano - Gravina	0:1

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