The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casarano 50.9%
Draw 28%
Matera 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
25.5%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
24.1%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casarano's form might have worsened.
Matera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casarano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matera than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Casarano - Matera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Ferrara V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Malcore G. ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, Loiodice N. ⚽,
82', 5 - 0, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
Casarano in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Matera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Casarano is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Casarano to win the game is with odds 1.62.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Casarano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Casarano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1