The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casatese 55.1%
Draw 26.3%
Sona 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
25.8%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
24.4%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Sona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Casatese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Casatese is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Casatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Casatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.