Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Casatese		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.85	2.37
	2.84	2.94	2.38
	3.05	2.8	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
31%

Draw
31.5%

Alcione
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

30%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Casatese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcione in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Lumezzane - Casatese	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Casatese - Franciacorta	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Casatese	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Varese - Casatese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWT
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Franciacorta - Alcione	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alcione - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Caronnese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Lecco - Alcione	✺

Casatese - Alcione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide