Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Alcione		Sona

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	7.5
	1.45	3.9	6.05
	1.4	3.84	6.26
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.36	4.45	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.02 ↓ (4.51)	6.94 ↓ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
64.6%

Draw
22.4%

Sona
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.3%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

18.7%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sona than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Alcione - Sona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Alcione in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alcione is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alcione to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.03.23	Casatese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Franciacorta - Alcione	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alcione - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Folgore Caratese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWW
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.03.23	Sona - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Sona	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Sona - Arconatese	0:4 ✺
12.02.23	Franciacorta - Sona	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Sona - Villa Valle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
06.11.22	Sona - Alcione	0:1

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