Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cascina Valdera		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.25	1.65
	4.6	3.3	1.67
	4.3	3.35	1.68
	4.61	3.29	1.69
	4.6	3.25	1.65
	4.55	3.62	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (4.61)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cascina Valdera
19.6%

Draw
26.8%

Follonica Gavorrano
53.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.6%

27.5%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

17.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cascina Valdera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cascina Valdera than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cascina Valdera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cascina Valdera - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Cascina Valdera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Follonica Gavorrano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Follonica Gavorrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Follonica Gavorrano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cascina Valdera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cascina Valdera ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.01.22	Cascina Valdera - Poggibonsi	0:2 ✺
22.12.21	Montespaccato - Cascina Valdera	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Rieti - Cascina Valdera	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Cascina Valdera - Trestina	0:1 ✺
08.12.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Cascina Valdera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWLW
- Follonica Gavorrano
Coppa Italia Serie D
16.01.22	Prato - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
22.12.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Rieti	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	UniPomezia - Follonica Gavorrano	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Follonica Gavorrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.09.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Cascina Valdera	2:0

Cascina Valdera - Follonica Gavorrano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Cascina Valdera - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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