Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Montespaccato		Cascina Valdera

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.7
	1.75	3.3	4.25
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.23	4.09
	1.82	3.3	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)	3.25 ↓ (3.74)	4.1 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
50.4%

Draw
27.7%

Cascina Valdera
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

24.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

16%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montespaccato's form might have worsened.

Cascina Valdera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montespaccato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cascina Valdera than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cascina Valdera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montespaccato - Cascina Valdera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cascina Valdera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montespaccato is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.12.21	Trestina - Montespaccato	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	2:1 ✺
05.12.21	Montespaccato - Cannara	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
21.11.21	Montespaccato - Pianese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLT
- Cascina Valdera ASD
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.12.21	Rieti - Cascina Valdera	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Cascina Valdera - Trestina	0:1 ✺
08.12.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Cascina Valdera	2:3 ✺
05.12.21	Cascina Valdera - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Cascina Valdera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLL

Montespaccato - Cascina Valdera

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Montespaccato - Cascina Valdera Predictions

Preview

Form

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