Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE D - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	Casertana		Real Agro Aversa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.1	5.4
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.51	3.72	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.97)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	5.71 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
58.5%

Draw
25.9%

Real Agro Aversa
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.

Real Agro Aversa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Agro Aversa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Agro Aversa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Casertana - Real Agro Aversa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Agro Aversa will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Casertana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Agro Aversa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Agro Aversa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
13.11.22	Casertana - Arzachena	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Vis Artena - Casertana	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Casertana - Tivoli Calcio	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Casertana - Romana	0:1 ✺
28.09.22	Cassino - Casertana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLL
- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.10.22	Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Sancataldese	4:0 ✺
16.10.22	Acireale - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Lamezia Terme	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Cittanovese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTLT

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