Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Castrovillari		Real Agro Aversa

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.2	3.15	2.1
	3.68	2.89	2
	3.17	3.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.77)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	2.09 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrovillari
27.2%

Draw
29.3%

Real Agro Aversa
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.

Real Agro Aversa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Agro Aversa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Agro Aversa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Agro Aversa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.10.22	Mariglianese - Castrovillari	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Catania - Castrovillari	4:0 ✺
05.10.22	Castrovillari - Acireale	0:4 ✺
02.10.22	Vibonese - Castrovillari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLT
- Real Agro Aversa
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Sancataldese	4:0 ✺
16.10.22	Acireale - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Lamezia Terme	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Real Agro Aversa - Cittanovese	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Città di SantAgata - Real Agro Aversa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
20.02.22	Real Agro Aversa - Castrovillari	0:0

Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide