Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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|
Caspe |
|
Binéfar |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
2.82 |
3.85 |
|
 |
1.94 |
2.91 |
4.42 |
|
 |
2.01 |
2.92 |
4.03 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
|
 |
2.02 |
2.86 |
3.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.04) |
2.84 ↓
(2.84) |
4.02 ↑
(3.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caspe
45.4% | Draw
32% | Binéfar
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caspe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Caspe - Binéfar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 84', 1 - 1, Rotellar F. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 2.Caspe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Binéfar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Caspe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Caspe might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).Including home matches between the teams, Caspe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Caspe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
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| 8 | Binefar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17 | | | 19.10.25 | Binéfar - Caspe | 0:1 | | 17.04.25 | Caspe - Binéfar | 0:0 | | 15.12.24 | Binéfar - Caspe | 3:2 | | 02.03.24 | Caspe - Binéfar | 2:1 | | 15.10.23 | Binéfar - Caspe | 0:0 | | 26.03.23 | Caspe - Binéfar | 2:1 | | 27.11.22 | Binéfar - Caspe | 0:1 |
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