Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 31

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Castanese		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.19	2.98	2.88
	2.28	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanese
40.2%

Draw
29.5%

Derthona
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out) and 12).

Castanese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Derthona has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castanese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Castanese
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.03.23	Castellanzese - Castanese	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Castanese - Asti	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Chisola - Castanese	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Castanese - Borgosesia	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	Pinerolo - Castanese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLTT
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.03.23	Derthona - Pinerolo	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Legnano - Derthona	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sestri Levante - Derthona	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Derthona - Bra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
06.11.22	Derthona - Castanese	3:0

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