Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)


	Sestri Levante		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.68
	2.05	3.26	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.2	3.29
	2.05	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.18 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
43.3%

Draw
28%

Derthona
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

26.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Sestri Levante - Derthona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestri Levante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(4 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestri Levante won 4.

Sestri Levante is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Derthona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Derthona has had a series of home games.

Sestri Levante might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sestri Levante won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestri Levante won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Derthona FbC	6	3	2	1	7:6	1	11
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.01.26	Saluzzo - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Asti - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sestri Levante - Biellese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTT
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.01.26	Derthona - Club Milano	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Derthona - Saluzzo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Imperia - Derthona	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Derthona - Varese	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
14.09.25	Derthona - Sestri Levante	1:3
12.02.23	Sestri Levante - Derthona	2:0
09.10.22	Derthona - Sestri Levante	0:3
27.04.22	Sestri Levante - Derthona	1:1
12.12.21	Derthona - Sestri Levante	1:2
20.02.21	Sestri Levante - Derthona	2:0
31.01.16	Derthona - Sestri Levante	1:0

Sestri Levante - Derthona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide