Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Legnano		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.1	3.21	3.15
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	2.2	3.08	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.81)	3.25 ↓ (3.39)	3.22 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnano
43.8%

Draw
28%

Derthona
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnano's form might have worsened.

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnano than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Legnano - Derthona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

Legnano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Derthona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legnano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Legnano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Legnano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Legnano Calcio 1913
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.02.23	Castellanzese - Legnano	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Legnano - Asti	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Chisola - Legnano	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Legnano - Castanese	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pinerolo - Legnano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWL
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.02.23	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sestri Levante - Derthona	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Derthona - Bra	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Gozzano - Derthona	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Derthona - Fezzanese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.22	Derthona - Legnano	3:0
14.04.21	Legnano - Derthona	2:0
20.12.20	Derthona - Legnano	1:2

Legnano - Derthona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide