Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castanhal		Pacajus

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.63	3.86	4.15
	1.7	3.1	4.5
	1.66	3.74	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	4.33 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
53.4%

Draw
25.8%

Pacajus
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Pacajus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Castanhal - Pacajus Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castanhal will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pacajus will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castanhal: 4% – 71%.

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Preview

Recent matches Castanhal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pacajus is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castanhal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castanhal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	Fluminense Piaui - Castanhal	3:1 ✺
25.06.22	Castanhal - 4 de Julho	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
11.06.22	SE Juventude - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Castanhal - Tocantinópolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLW
- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.22	Pacajus - Tocantinópolis	2:3 ✺
26.06.22	Moto Club de São Luís - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
17.06.22	Pacajus - SE Juventude	0:1 ✺
11.06.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Pacajus	1:0 ✺
03.06.22	Pacajus - Fluminense Piaui	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
22.04.22	Pacajus - Castanhal	1:0

Castanhal - Pacajus