Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Castanhal		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.85	3.25	3.85
	1.77	3.15	4
	1.86	3.1	3.96
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.88	3.28	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.44)	3.17 ↓ (3.83)	3.87 ↓ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castanhal
48.5%

Draw
28.3%

Tocantinópolis
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tocantinópolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Castanhal - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castanhal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tocantinópolis will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castanhal: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Castanhal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castanhal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Castanhal	4:1 ✺
21.05.22	Castanhal - SE Juventude	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	4 de Julho - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
03.05.22	Castanhal - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWT
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Castanhal	4:1 ✺
21.05.22	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
14.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
07.05.22	SE Juventude - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Castanhal	4:1

Castanhal - Tocantinópolis