Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 7Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castelfidardo |
|
Atletico Ascoli |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.3 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.26 |
2.69 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.26 |
2.69 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.2) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
2.7 ↓
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo
39.2% | Draw
27.5% | Atletico Ascoli
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)Castelfidardo - Atletico Ascoli Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castelfidardo (votes: 2 - 50%). Atletico Ascoli (votes: 2 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 5, ⚽,
- 72', 0 - 6, ⚽,
- 90+6', 1 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).Castelfidardo is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Atletico Ascoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Atletico Ascoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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