Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Termoli		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.00	2.55
	2.52	2.92	2.62
	2.55	3.11	2.64	Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.55
	2.45	3.06	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termoli
35.7%

Draw
29.8%

Atletico Ascoli
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

30.4%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Termoli - Atletico Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 7th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Termoli has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Termoli has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:4 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Termoli against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Atletico Ascoli	9	4	2	3	13:10	3	14
12	Termoli	9	3	2	4	6:7	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.26	Teramo - Termoli	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Fossombrone - Termoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	L Aquila - Termoli	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.10.26	Termoli - Lanciano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Trestina - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWL
- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.26	Atletico Ascoli - Lanciano	5:1 ✺
11.10.26	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Giulianova - Atletico Ascoli	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Trestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:1
24.09.25	Termoli - Atletico Ascoli	3:1
27.04.25	Termoli - Atletico Ascoli	0:0
15.12.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2
14.01.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2

Termoli - Atletico Ascoli