Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Castelfidardo		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.15	2.95	2.15
	3.16	2.98	2.17
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	3.18	3.16	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	2.19 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
29.6%

Draw
29.3%

Sambenedettese
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

30.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Castelfidardo - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 12).

Castelfidardo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sambenedettese is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castelfidardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
13.03.22	Matese - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Castelfidardo - Chieti	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Castelfidardo - Vastese	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Castelfidardo - Fano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
06.03.22	Fano - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Sambenedettese - Nereto	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Porto DAscoli - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
13.02.22	Sambenedettese - Roma City	3:0 ✺
06.02.22	Recanatese - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
07.11.21	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:0
24.01.16	Castelfidardo - Sambenedettese	1:3

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