Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Castelfidardo		Vastese

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	3.15	2.75	2.32
	2.8	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.62)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
31.5%

Draw
31.8%

Vastese
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

21.6%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vastese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castelfidardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vastese than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vastese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 0.

Castelfidardo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vastese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Vastese have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.02.22	Castelnuovo Vomano - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Castelfidardo - Fano	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Porto DAscoli - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Castelfidardo - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Castelfidardo - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Vastese Calcio 1902
Italian Serie D - Group F
20.02.22	Vastese - Matese	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Vastese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Vastese	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Vastese - Fano	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Vastese - Nereto	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.10.21	Vastese - Castelfidardo	0:1
12.05.21	Vastese - Castelfidardo	1:2
12.12.18	Vastese - Castelfidardo	2:1
08.04.18	Castelfidardo - Vastese	1:2
19.11.17	Vastese - Castelfidardo	2:1
27.11.16	Vastese - Castelfidardo	2:0

Castelfidardo - Vastese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide