Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Castelfidardo		Chieti

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.78
	2.31	3.32	2.79	Watch
	2.32	3.2	2.8
	2.12	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
39.5%

Draw
28.1%

Chieti
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Castelfidardo - Chieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Morais M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castelfidardo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Castelfidardo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.03.26	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ostia Mare - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Castelfidardo - San Marino Calcio	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Atletico Ascoli - Castelfidardo	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Castelfidardo - Termoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
15.03.26	Chieti - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Atletico Ascoli - Chieti	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chieti - Termoli	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ancona - Chieti	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Chieti - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
09.11.25	Chieti - Castelfidardo	1:2
26.01.25	Castelfidardo - Chieti	0:1
29.09.24	Chieti - Castelfidardo	1:0
06.03.22	Castelfidardo - Chieti	3:0
24.10.21	Chieti - Castelfidardo	0:2
07.02.16	Castelfidardo - Chieti	1:1

Castelfidardo - Chieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide