Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castellón		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.58	3.5	5.2
	1.61	3.45	6.57
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.61	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.82)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)	5.42 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
57%

Draw
26.1%

La Nucía
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

28.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Castellón - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Nucía is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castellón to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.22	Castellón - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Cornellà - Castellón	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Castellón - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Castellón - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.10.22	La Nucía - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Numancia - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	La Nucía - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
11.09.22	SD Logroñés - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	La Nucía - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.01.20	Castellón - La Nucía	3:0
08.09.19	La Nucía - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	La Nucía - Castellón	2:0
06.12.17	Castellón - La Nucía	1:0

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