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Current Win Probability
Castellón 60.9%
Draw 22.6%
Sporting de Gijón 16.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.1%
21.2%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
23.6%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Castellón - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 14. Cordoba I. 18. Santiago P. 6. Orozco M. 8. Barri 21. Alvaro 10. Suero I. 16. Jakobsen A.
1. Yanez R. (C) 2. Rosas G. 4. Gularte E. 23. Saenz J. 44. Cuenca A. 7. Campos G. 22. Guillamon H. 14. Corredera A. 3. Garcia P. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
12. Alcazar L. 19. Bellari H. 11. Ceccherini F. 27. Gala A. 23. Garcia A. 15. Kostis I. 24. Muale Nzanza D. 26. Rego R. 1. Saipi A. (G) 7. Sanchez R. 20. Tincho 25. Vlak J.
13. Arana E. (G) 24. Dunabeitia A. 35. Ferreres C. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 34. Matabuena D. 27. Prendes E. 36. Rubio B. 5. Sanchez D. 16. Sarco A. 15. Vazquez P.
Coaches
Hernandez P.
Larcamon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Jakobsen A. ⚽, Orozco M. (A),
7', Guillamon H. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Suero I. ⚽, Orozco M. (A),
35', Orozco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Jakobsen A. ⚽, Orozco M. (A),
58', Campos G. ↓, Prendes E. ↑,
58', Otero J. ↓, Sarco A. ↑,
66', Cordoba I. ↓, Alcazar L. ↑,
67', Orozco M. ↓, Vlak J. ↑,
68', Rosas G. 🟨,
69', Guillamon H. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
74', Suero I. ↓, Gala A. ↑,
74', Jimenez A. ↓, Kostis I. ↑,
78', Garcia P. ↓, Matabuena D. ↑,
78', Cuenca A. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
82', Jakobsen A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, Alvaro (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - LaLiga and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Castellón holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Castellón: Brignani F.
(Injury)
Camara O.
(Injury)
Castillo F.
(Injury)
Juanjo Nieto
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sporting de Gijón: Casas A.
(Injury)
Dunabeitia A.
(Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Leg Injury)
Iosifov N.
(Muscle Injury)
de la Fuente K.
(Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Castellón has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Castellón against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).
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Matthys R. (G) 
Mellot J. 
Jimenez A. (C) 
Sienra A. 
Orozco M. 
Jakobsen A. 
Gularte E. 
Ceccherini F. 
Kostis I. 
Muale Nzanza D. 
Rego R. 
Saipi A. (G) 
Vlak J. 
Loum M. 
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