The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cádiz 44.6%
Draw 30%
Sporting de Gijón 25.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.3%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
29.3%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cádiz's performance.
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cádiz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (C) 27. Diaz Peregrina J. 4. Castro J. 6. Fernandez M. 3. Arribas S. 18. Jandro 28. Zarate Hidalgo D. A. 24. Sanchez I. 17. Moueffek A. 16. Cordero A. 21. Kopotun V.
1. Yanez R. (C) 2. Rosas G. 4. Gularte E. 23. Saenz J. 44. Cuenca A. 8. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 27. Prendes E. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. 16. Sarco A.
Substitutes
8. Aghama E. 2. de Jesus B. 5. Doue M. 13. Ezkieta J. (G) 19. Izeta 14. Kovacevic B. 10. Ontiveros J. 9. Pascual A. 25. Petit G. 23. Rodriguez D. 31. Ukwuije N. 20. Vazquez B.
13. Arana E. (G) 28. Conde M. 35. Ferreres C. 3. Garcia P. 22. Guillamon H. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 34. Matabuena D. 5. Sanchez D. 15. Vazquez P.
Coaches
Celades A.
Larcamon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Arribas S. 🟨,
54', Saenz J. 🟨,
65', Moueffek A. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
69', Prendes E. ↓, Matabuena D. ↑,
74', Sanchez I. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
74', Kopotun V. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
80', Campos G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
86', Jandro ↓, Aghama E. ↑,
86', Cordero A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
90+2', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 3.
Cádiz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Sporting de Gijón have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cádiz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Cádiz: Gocholeishvili G.
(Injury)
Gutierrez C.
(Injury)
Mwepu F.
(Knee Injury)
Rivera M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tabatadze I.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sporting de Gijón: Casas A.
(Injury)
Dunabeitia A.
(Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Leg Injury)
Iosifov N.
(Muscle Injury)
Otero J.
(Injury)
de la Fuente K.
(Injury).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cádiz has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cádiz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).