Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 29

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Magenta

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.25	3.6
	2.13	3.07	3.21
	2.1	3.24	3.31
	2.07	3.18	3.32
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.41 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
44.8%

Draw
28.5%

Magenta
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

20.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Magenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magenta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magenta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellanzese - Magenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Toldo A. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Gatelli L. (Pen),
20', 1 - 2, Chessa M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 3, Toldo A. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Castellanzese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Magenta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellanzese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Magenta have a series of home games.

In this match Castellanzese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.02.25	Sondrio - Castellanzese	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Castellanzese - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Casatese - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Castellanzese - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLT
- AC Magenta
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.02.25	Magenta - Casatese	1:5 ✺
02.02.25	Magenta - Vigasio	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Club Milano - Magenta	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Magenta - Crema	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Magenta - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.10.24	Magenta - Castellanzese	1:0

Castellanzese - Magenta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide