Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Vigasio

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.73	2.94	2.52
	2.78	3.1	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.66	3.08	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.3)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	2.44 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
33%

Draw
30%

Vigasio
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellanzese's form might have worsened.

Vigasio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vigasio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vigasio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castellanzese - Vigasio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.01.25	Club Milano - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Castellanzese - Crema	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Pro Sesto - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Castellanzese - Ospitaletto	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WTTLT
- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group B
20.01.25	Crema - Vigasio	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Vigasio - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ospitaletto - Vigasio	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Vigasio - Club Milano	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Vigasio - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.24	Vigasio - Castellanzese	0:0

Castellanzese - Vigasio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide