Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Pavia

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.35	3.2
	2.08	3.24	3.19
	2.05	3.45	3.17	Watch
	2.05	3.28	3.25
	2.04	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
44.5%

Draw
27.2%

Pavia
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Castellanzese - Pavia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Castellanzese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.11.25	Castellanzese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vogherese - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Castellanzese - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Villa Valle - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Castellanzese - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLLW
- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
02.11.25	Pavia - Villa Valle	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Varesina - Pavia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pavia - Piacenza	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.10.25	Brusaporto - Pavia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Pavia - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLLW

Castellanzese - Pavia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide