The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellanzese 57.8%
Draw 24.1%
Varesina 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
24.6%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
23.4%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Castellanzese - Varesina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Banfi S. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Sassaro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group D Playoffs and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 1.
Castellanzese is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Varesina is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Castellanzese for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Castellanzese in today's match, at odds of 1.55.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Castellanzese has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Castellanzese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).
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