Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 17Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Castellanzese |
|
Virtus CiseranoBergamo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
2.98 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
2.75 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.64 |
2.91 |
2.56 |
|
 |
2.71 |
2.8 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.49) |
2.87 ↓
(3.3) |
2.62 ↑
(2.58) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castellanzese
34.1% | Draw
31.5% | Virtus CiseranoBergamo
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 35', 1 - 0, Rusconi L. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Chessa M. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, De Felice A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).In recent matches, Castellanzese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).CiseranoBergamo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Castellanzese - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 17.01.24 | Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 2:0 | | 13.02.22 | Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Castellanzese | 4:1 | | 06.10.21 | Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo | 2:3 |
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