Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Leon		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	2.92
	2.25	3.42	2.82	Watch
	2.29	3.16	2.87
	2.28	3.14	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)	3.19 ↓ (3.43)	2.88 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leon
40%

Draw
28.4%

Castellanzese
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Leon - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Castelletto E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Galimberti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, Airaghi J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Leon
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.11.25	Pavia - Leon	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Leon - Varesina	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vogherese - Leon	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Leon - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Villa Valle - Leon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLL
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.11.25	Castellanzese - Casatese	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Castellanzese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Castellanzese - Pavia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Castellanzese - Varesina	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vogherese - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
30.01.22	Castellanzese - Leon	2:1

Leon - Castellanzese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide