Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Pavia

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.48	2.86	Watch
	2.22	3.25	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	2.89 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
41.3%

Draw
27.1%

Pavia
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - CiseranoBergamo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CiseranoBergamo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Ferrario C. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 1 - 1, Ghiozzi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

CiseranoBergamo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pavia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Vogherese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Varesina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Sondrio	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWWL
- Pavia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Pavia - Casatese	3:3 ✺
30.11.25	Scanzorosciate - Pavia	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pavia - Leon	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Pavia - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Castellanzese - Pavia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTT

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pavia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide