Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Castelldefels		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	4	3.1	1.9
	3.87	3.25	1.86
	3.87	3.25	1.83
	4	3.13	1.88
	4	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.84)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
23.1%

Draw
28.7%

Montañesa
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Castelldefels is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montañesa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Montañesa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Vilafranca - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Castelldefels - LEscala	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Girona B - Castelldefels	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Castelldefels - Tona	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Reus FC Reddis - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Montañesa - Badalona	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	San Cristóbal - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Montañesa - Grama	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Montañesa - Peralada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
16.04.23	Montañesa - Castelldefels	0:1
11.12.22	Castelldefels - Montañesa	3:4
02.04.21	Montañesa - Castelldefels	0:1
27.01.21	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:0

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