Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Girona B		Castelldefels

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.09	3.16	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.11 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
41.9%

Draw
29.2%

Castelldefels
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15).

Girona B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Castelldefels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Girona B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Girona B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Girona B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Badalona - Girona B	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Girona B - San Cristóbal	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Grama - Girona B	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	2:4 ✺
15.10.23	Peralada - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLL
- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Castelldefels - Tona	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Reus FC Reddis - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Castelldefels - Rapitenca	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Prat - Castelldefels	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Castelldefels - Olot	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Girona B - Castelldefels	0:1
25.09.22	Castelldefels - Girona B	1:0
13.02.22	Castelldefels - Girona B	1:3
10.10.21	Girona B - Castelldefels	1:0

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