Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castellon B		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.61
	4.75	3.6	1.63
	4.76	3.36	1.65
	4.76	3.36	1.65
	5.09	3.54	1.63
	4.75	3.6	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (7.32)	3.49 ↓ (4.2)	1.63 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
18.8%

Draw
25.9%

Elche Ilicitano
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.6%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

21.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellon B's performance.

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche Ilicitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellon B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Castellon B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ilicitano is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ilicitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilicitano is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Castellon B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellon B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.01.24	Utiel - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Castellon B - Levante B	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Burriana - Castellon B	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Castellon B - Atzeneta	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Torrellano - Castellon B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWWW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.01.24	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Roda - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Elche Ilicitano - Rayo Ibense	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Silla - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Elche Ilicitano - Ontinyent 1931	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.04.23	Castellon B - Elche Ilicitano	2:0
04.12.22	Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B	2:1
16.01.22	Castellon B - Elche Ilicitano	0:0
19.09.21	Elche Ilicitano - Castellon B	2:2

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